Southeast Oakville market brief — June 2026.
Quieter than May, stronger than a year ago — and values steadier than the headline averages suggest.
June in numbers.
Average and median prices move with the mix of homes sold each month — over half of June’s sales were entry-tier Ford homes — rather than a broad decline in values. The HPI benchmark below is a steadier gauge of underlying value.
A quieter month
in a stronger year.
A closer read of June’s numbers — and what the benchmark says about value.
June produced 23 sales — down from May’s 30 as the market eased into summer, though still 44% ahead of last June’s 16. The month was clearly front-loaded: 19 of the 23 sales came in the first half, with the back half slowing to a near-standstill. Average days on market was 30 — the lowest of the year — though individual sales ranged from a few days to over three months, as some longer-standing listings finally found buyers. New listings stepped back to 56 (−24% year over year). On the ground, the tempo felt quieter than the headline count suggests.
The averages fell sharply — $2.42M average, $2.08M median — but that’s the mix, not the market: over half of June’s sales were in Ford, the area’s entry tier. The sale-to-list ratio held at 94%, with sales spanning $1.25M to $5.5M.
For actual values, the benchmark is the better guide. The MLS® Home Price Index — which tracks like-for-like homes — eased just 1–2.5% from May after holding firm through the spring, and sits 3–10% below last June depending on the community. Values are easing modestly — far less than the swing in the averages suggests.
A quieter month in the southeast is not at odds with the bigger picture: across Oakville as a whole, the first half of 2026 has been a story of recovery. For the town-wide view, see our 2026 Mid-Year Market Review.
Tracking prices
for comparable homes.
MLS® Home Price Index benchmark prices — not an average of the month’s sales. Versus June 2025: Morrison $3.60M → $3.30M (−8%) · Old Oakville $2.64M → $2.55M (−3%) · Ford $1.95M → $1.75M (−10%).
The number to watch is supply: new listings are down 24% from last year while sales run well ahead. If that holds through the fall, the market should begin to stabilize.Key insight · June 2026
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1235 North Service Rd W · Oakville, ON · L6M 2W2